This week’s offering is 2x £5 lines. £5 ACCUMULATOR @7/1 and £5 TREBLE @11/1
- BARCELONA 5/6 (Away v Sevilla. Friday KO 21:00)
- LEVERKUSEN 4/7 (Away v Hertha Berlin. Saturday KO 14:30)
- ATLETICO MADRID 1/3 (Home v Valladolid. Saturday KO 21:00)
- CHELSEA 1/2 (Away v Aston Villa. Sunday KO 16:15)
- INTER 3/10 (Home v Sampdoria. Sunday KO 20:45)
- ARSENAL 13/10 (Away v Brighton. Saturday KO 15:00)
- WEST BROM 4/7 (Home v Birmingham. Saturday KO 15:00)
- NEWCASTLE 9/4 (Home v Sheffield United. Sunday KO 14:00)
OVERVIEW: A slight change of tactics this week after another horror show last time out. I’ve decided to split this week’s £10 and have two lines running, hopefully at once. Main reason for this being I’ve selected Barcelona on line 1 which is on Friday night. Normally that wouldn’t be a problem, it’s Barcelona after all, but on this occasion it’s a risky selection with them being away at high flying Sevilla. Should that selection fail it would leave us with nothing to go at over Saturday and Sunday. That’s where the back up 2nd line comes in.
The results really have been all over the shop since football’s return, 2 lines should increase the chances of a win. I read the other day that home win percentages were down about 30% or 40% since the behind closed doors matches began. It shows what a difference the crowds make in creating the home advantage we’re usually accustomed to.
This week’s fixture set isn’t the greatest pool to pick from and going off the previous failures I’ve tried to be a bit more gut feeling rather than being too focused on stats and form. I’d be lying if I said these selections were anywhere near guaranteed and it’s probably the least confident I’ve felt since football returned. Having said that, a change of luck is definitely due and usually arrives when least expected. Here’s hoping.
LINE 1 PICKS: Barcelona travel to 3rd placed Sevilla looking to maintain their lead at the top of La Liga. Seville have had a good season and they have their own Champions League securing aspirations. This is by no means a given result but Lionel Messi has returned from the break in imperious form resulting in 2 wins from 2. If Barca can get through this tricky Friday night match this line has a GREAT CHANCE.
Fresh from a comprehensive drubbing of Osasuna, Atletico will be looking to carry on their decent form and hold on to the converted Champions League spot at home to lowly Valladolid. Golden Boy João Felix finally started to show his worth with a hattrick last time out, hopefully the start of a run for the talented Portuguese. HOME WIN.
Leverkusen are unbeaten in 9 away matches in all competitions with 7 of those being victories. I fancy that run to continue at Hertha who have lost their last 3 matches and are marooned in mid table with nothing to play for. Havertz to bag again, AWAY WIN.
Chelsea have been moving along quite nicely under Frank Lampard and sit in the top 4. Their opponents Villa haven’t won for 7 matches and are 2nd bottom with relegation looking a very distinct likelihood. Chelsea’s quality should shine through with the help of an empty Villa Park.
Inter’s Serie A title hopes may have faded in the week’s leading up to the lockdown but they still should be too strong for struggling Sampdoria. The away side have secured a couple of positive results in recent, not so recent matches, albeit against team’s way off Inter’s quality. It’s possible we could have a good cash out number if we get to this point on Sunday night which maybe worth looking at, but I reckon Inter will wrap up the acca without needing it. HOME WIN!
LINE 2 PICKS: Arsenal divide a lot of opinion but the defeat at City was their first in 2020. Despite a lot of draws in that run, that’s pretty good going. Their opponents on the other hand are on a 10 match winless streak and only 2 points above the drop zone. The Gunner’s extra match fitness could be an aiding factor and hopefully we’ll see Lacazette partner Aubameyang upfront to give the away side that extra firepower. AWAY WIN.
WEST BROM look destined for promotion to the Premier League but they also aim to pip Leeds to the Championship title. Although this is a heated derby match I’d usually avoid, I think the home team will show why they are deserve to be promoted against Birmingham side who sit 16th and without a win in 7 games. Bragging rights West Brom.
Ahhh Newcastle United. This is a pick from the heart with logic going straight out the window. The opposition, Sheffield United, have had a excellent first season back in the Premier League and are chasing a European spot. I just have sneaky feeling the Toon will gain a narrow victory in this one at St.James’ Park. Having beat the blades in the corresponding fixture earlier in the season, I’m hoping for the same on Sunday. Saint-Maximin to be key in a 1-0 or 2-1. TOON TOON!!!!