BLOGIN BETS 28/11/20

This week’s accumulator selection is £10 @5/1.

BOLTON 1/2 (Home v Southend. Saturday – 15:00)

JUVENTUS 4/11 (Away v Benevento. Saturday – 17:00)

REAL MADRID 1/3 (Home v Alaves. Saturday – 20:00)

AC MILAN 4/6 (Home v Fiorentina. Sunday – 14:00)

MONACO 1/3 (Home v Nimes. Sunday – 14:00

CONFIDENCE: 7/10

OVERVIEW: Welcome again one and all, this week’s accumulator selection is a weekend whistle stop tour of the great European hotspots – Starting in Bolton and heading 5 star to Turin, Madrid, Milan, finishing in Monte Carlo for a little casino dabble with our winnings. All during lockdown, what a belter.

The set up is simple, £10, 5 teams, all to win, spread across Saturday and Sunday. We are due a winner and this could be the one.

PICKS: Bolton have started to pick up in League 2 after a difficult opening period. They’ve won their last four matches in all competitions and face a Southend side rock bottom of the football league. The visitors have been the whipping boys so far and have lost 4 of their last 5. HOME WIN

Juventus are starting to do what Juventus do, win games. Although not at their very best in Serie A thus far, they travel to a Benevento side who lost 4 of their last 5 league games and by some by decent margins. ROUTINE AWAY WIN.

Madrids league form has been a bit scratchy so far this season however, they welcome Alaves to the Bernabeu, A team they have beaten by at least 2 goals in their last 8 meetings. More of the same. HOME WIN.

Table Toppers AC Milan welcome 15th place Fiorentina to the San Siro where they haven’t lost for 13 league matches. In form Zlatan Ibrahimovic to continue his rich vein of form in this HOME WIN.

Monaco have won their last 3 Ligue 1 matches including a Cesc Fabregas inspired 3-2 win over PSG last time out. Opponents Nimes have lost 4 of their last 5. The equation suggests a Monaco win to WRAP UP THE ACCA.

BLOGIN BETS 21/11/20 (League 2 Special)

This week’s accumulator is £10 @10/1

CHELTENHAM 8/11 (Home v Walsall – KO 15:00)

EXETER 4/6 (Home v Oldham – KO 15:00)

CAMBRIDGE UNITED 4/6 (Away v Southend – KO 15:00)

NEWPORT COUNTY 1/1 (Home v Port Vale – KO 15:00)

CONFIDENCE: 7/10

OVERVIEW: I’ve scowled the usual leagues across Europe in search of something to get excited about and it’s either shortest of short odds or risky risky. Quite often you get weekends where the fixture list is not worth wiping your backside with. It’s a shame seeing as we finally made to the arse end of the naff international break.

Anyway, I had a little look at the lower leagues and realised most of the top teams are playing sides quite low down. Delving a bit deeper into form, odds etc I’ve managed to get a canny looking line from League 2. So here we have it, a League 2 special. Yes I know, there’s nowt special about it, same carry on, £10, 4 teams, all to win. 10/1 is cracking odds in my opinion and here’s why.

PICKS: Cheltenham sit 3rd in the league and have only lost once at home in their last 8 games which includes 6 wins. They entertain a 13th placed Walsall side who have lost their last 3 matches including a defeat to bottom side Southend. HOME WIN.

Exeter are now 13 games unbeaten and sit nicely in the playoff places. They welcome an Oldham side who have to make 500 mile round trip and sit perilously above the professional football relegation zone. HOME WIN.

Newport County are top of the tree and have won their last 6 league matches at home. Although opponents Port Vale sit just outside the playoffs, they are leaking as many goals as they are scoring. 7 home wins in a row incoming for County.

although Southend won their last match against Walsall, they hadn’t won for the previous 16. They sit rock bottom of the table, an ideal fixture for Cambridge who are flying high in 2nd. They have amassed 25 goals in their 12 matches so far only conceding 9. Go on you university toffs, WRAP UP THE ACCA FOR US.

BLOGIN BETS 7/11/20

This week’s accumulator selection is £10 @7/1

CHELSEA 4/11 (Home v Sheffield United. Saturday KO 17:30

TOTTENHAM 4/9 (Away v West Brom. Sunday KO 12:00)

ROMA 4/6 (Away v Genoa. Sunday KO 14:00)

ARSENAL 8/13 (Home v Aston Villa. Sunday KO 19:15)

MILAN 2/5 (Home v Verona. Sunday 19:45)

CONFIDENCE: 7/10

OVERVIEW: Let down by one Inter goal last week cost us the acca but you know what, we are on the cusp of something great and it will come in the shape of our free £10 returned stake this weekend.

I’ve tried to make a big effort to avoid early kick off’s this time round, especially the Saturday pit of hell ones. You know the score, a trap door banker you think is made of solid oak only for a pile of straw to fall from beneath your feet, blowing your once winning ticket away in the process.

Granted, the Spurs KO is a midday affair but in COVID times it’s hard to completely avoid the early kick offs as most of the matches are so spread out. One plus is it’s not until Sunday meaning we aren’t risking a total wash out early doors and with the form of the Kane/Son partnership we should be looking at a green tick anyway✅ Of the 5 matches in question this week, 4 of them are on Sunday with 2 kicking off after 7pm for a floodlight feel. It’s a long stretch of a weekend acca but..

GOOD THINGS COME TO THOSE WHO WAIT.

PICKS: Chelsea have won their last 3 games scoring over 3 in each and conceding 0. The omens look good as their opponents Sheffield United sit rock bottom of the Premier League with a measly 1 point from their opening 7 matches. Hakim Ziyech could be a real season turner for The Blues, dangerous from set plays, his return to the team can only be a good thing for our acca cause. HOME WIN.

It’s 3rd top versus 3 bottom at the hawthorns. Tottenham have to be big favourites with form of messrs Kane and Son Min Heung. Bale from the bench is also a brilliant attacking option. Spurs are unbeaten in 6 league games which includes a 6-1 hammering of Man United. West Brom still haven’t won a match. AWAY WIN.

Roma seem to have experienced an indifferent start to the Serie A season but on closer inspection are actually unbeaten in 8 games while the defeat at Verona was actually a defaulted match. They should have too much for an average Genoa side who hover perilously above the drop zone. This is the make break match of the acca but AWAY WIN.

Despite Villa’s good start in the league, they will lose away to Arsenal under the floodlights. The inconsistent gunners 1-0 victory at Old Trafford could be the result that starts a run and the goal for Aubameyang could get his season off an running also. HOME WIN.

Milan’s defeat in the Europa league on Thursday was their first loss in 28, yes 28 matches. They have been Europe’s form side aided by 39 year old Zlatan Ibrahimovic who is the current Serie A leading scorer. They entertain a Verona side who haven’t registered a victory in 13 away matches. HOME WIN late on Sunday evening to WRAP UP THE ACCA.

BLOGIN BETS 24/10/20 – £100 Challenge (Stage 5)

STAGE 5

MILLWALL & DONCASTER EACH TO SCORE 1+ GOALS 8/13

  • STAKE: £55.69
  • RETURNS: £89.96

OVERVIEW: I’ve had a few messages about when the £100 challenge would continue, it’s been a while since we completed stage 4. As we are now so close to the target I’ve been agonising over the right bet to take us forward but I think I’ve finally found that bet.

This bet won’t take us to exactly £100 but will leave us pretty darn close so one more stage will be required to get to the magic target. However £89.96 is nothing to be sniffed at considering we started with a measly £10. Pulling out that point is perfectly fine if people so wish.

So, Stage 5. All we require is for Millwall and Doncaster to score a goal each in their respective matches this afternoon. Millwall, who is sit in the Championship playoff spots, are home to relegation candidates Barnsley and have amassed 10 goals in their last 6 league matches. Doncaster entertain Crewe who sit just below mid table in league 1. Tellingly, Doncaster have also managed 10 goals in their last 6 league matches. I expect both teams to win never mind get 1 goal each.

Remember, that’s all we need, a goal from each side. What a chance to complete this stage and be within touching distance of £100 mark. GOALS GOALS GOALS.

BLOGIN BETS 4/10/20 – £100 challenge (Stage 3)

STAGE 3

• BARCELONA v SEVILLA – BOTH TEAMS TO HAVE 1+ CORNERS IN EACH HALF 1/2

  • STAKE: £22.50
  • RETURNS: £33.75

OVERVIEW: Arsenal wrapped up stage 2 with a comfortable victory over Sheffield United. The running total is now up to £22.50 so slowly we make our way toward the magic £100 mark.

Moving onto stage 3 straight away I’ve found a little corker in Spain tonight. Barcelona host Seville and all we are looking for is for each team to be awarded a corner in each half. Barcelona have had 11 corners in their first 2 La Liga matches while Seville have had 9 so this sounds simple enough. These 2 sides are amongst Spain’s most attacking sides and at 1/2 this is exactly what we need to keep this challenge going.

A CORNER A CORNER!

BLOGIN BETS 26/9/20

This week’s accumulator is £10 @5/1

B.DORTMUND 2/5 (Away v Augsburg. Saturday KO 14:30)

CHELSEA 1/3 (Away v West Brom. Saturday KO 17:30)

MARSEILLE 4/7 (Home v Metz. Saturday KO 20:00)

PORTO 4/11 (Away v Boavista. Saturday KO 21:00)

AC MILAN 4/9 (Away v Crotone. Sunday KO 17:00)

CONFIDENCE: 8/10

OVERVIEW: On paper this week’s line up looks an excellent one. 5 teams, all historic European elite sides pitted against lesser opposition. What could possibly go wrong?!

In terms of a viewing perspective, no supporters permitted in stadiums has seen more televised action than ever with the kick off times far more spread out to accommodate this. Quite frankly, it’s ideal for being able to watch your selections unfold. This line is no different as the matches are spread over Saturday and Sunday, no kick off time the same.

I reiterate the strength of these picks again but quite often the ones you are most confident about are the ones that come unstuck. Here’s hoping not this one.

PICKS: Dortmund got their league campaign off to a great start with a 3-0 success last week, Erling Haaland bagging a brace. Their opponents Augsburg have never won their first home game of a Bundesliga season and that bizarre streak should continue here. Away win.

West Brom have lost both of their opening 2 Premier League matches and conceded 8 goals in the process. Chelsea will be looking to capitalise with their plethora of new stars. It should be a routine win for the blues if they are to have any aspirations of a serious title challenge this year. Another away win.

Both Marseille and their opponents Metz have been involved in relatively low scoring affairs at the start of the season. You would expect the extra quality of the home side to shine through in these situations with Florian Thauvin a possible key to the door. The skilful winger has already bagged a winner in le classique in previous weeks. Home win.

Porto were pretty much unstoppable in the Primeira Liga last year and have started this campaign in similar vein. They have won 8 of their last 9 games and I expect them to make it 9 in 10. Boavista have been a very mixed bag in recent times. Away win.

Milan are unbeaten in 16 matches, their best run since 2008. The Italian giants should extend that sequence against Crotone who were drubbed 4-1 on the opening weekend. Milan will be without Zlatan who tested positive in the week but should still have more than enough fire power to WRAP UP THE ACCA Sunday tea time.

BLOGIN BETS 19/9/20

This week’s acca selection is £10 @9/1.

ARSENAL 4/9 (Home v West Ham. Saturday KO 20:00)

NEWCASTLE 13/8 (Home v Brighton. Sunday KO 14:00)

LEICESTER 4/7 (Home v Burnley. Sunday KO 19:00)

REAL MADRID 4/6 (Away v Real Sociedad. Sunday KO 20:00)

CONFIDENCE: 7/10

OVERVIEW: Another straight forward weekend for the accumulator. 4 teams, all to win with the matches spread over Saturday and Sunday. The bonus this week being that this is the refunded free £10 bet from last week’s line. The result of only one selection letting down the lads.

In terms of the picks, there’s a couple of question marks and teams I wouldn’t have usually selected but looking at the broader fixture list it was a very tough game week overall and not a great deal stood out. Also not forgetting we are so early in the season with teams still finding their feet, match sharpness etc. These teams were as good as was available in my opinion.

Having said all that, at 9/1, this line is cracking value and I’m quietly confident.

PICKS: Arsenal flew out the traps last week pretty emphatically. They’ll be looking to build on that start at home to a poor West Ham side. The away team were comfortably beaten at home against Newcastle last weekend and offered very little to suggest they’ll trouble the gunners this time round. Easy home win.

Newcastle will looking to make it 3 wins in a week at home to Brighton. The new signings at St.James’ park have all made an immediate and positive impact which should see the magpies have a relatively comfortable season. The seagulls on the other hand lost their opener albeit against title hopefuls Chelsea. This is a slightly risky selection but at 13/8 boosts the line price significantly. Allan Saint-Maximin the one to watch here. Home win.

Leicester have made another positive start to the season. I fancy them strongly at home to Burnley, who get their campaign under way at the King Power. That extra weeks match fitness could be pivotal for the foxes and should yield the win we need. Home win.

Spanish champions Real Madrid get their league season underway at Real Sociedad. Los Blancos are unbeaten in their last 5 away La Liga matches and will be looking to extend that run. Karim Benzema was in red hot form last term and I fancy him to get the goals the WRAP UP THE ACCA.

BLOGIN BETS 21/8/20 (Europa League final special)

This week’s pick is £10 @5/1 bet builder special. (INTER V SEVILLA. KO 20:00)

• ROMELU LUKAKU – TO SCORE ANYTIME 7/5

ROMELU LUKAKU – TO HAVE 2+ SHOTS ON TARGET 13/5

OVER 1.5 MATCH GOALS 2/7

OVER 8.5 MATCH CORNERS 9/20

CONFIDENCE: 8/10

OVERVIEW: Hello all, I haven’t posted any bets for a few weeks. This is basically because I haven’t made any, either due to the difficulty of fixtures or the general lack of them. Tonight though, it’s the Europa League final and I tell you what, it looks a cracker and one not to be missed. With that in mind, I’ve gone for a little bet builder special with the main focus on one of Europe’s inform strikers.

Romelu Lukaku has scored in his last 10 Europa League matches and I fancy that streak to continue tonight. Often criticised during his time at Manchester United, he has looked fitter, sharper and a lot leaner since moving to Inter and has managed to bag himself 33 goals in all competitions this season, a very lucrative return. He also takes Inter’s penalties so a goal and 2+ shots on target for the big man looks a decent shout.

I can’t separate the 2 teams in terms of a result, Inter probably slight favourites but I definitely think there will be goals and plenty of corners. The bet looks really good value at 5/1 and, from a neutral standpoint, adds a little extra kick to what already should be a quality fixture.

Other notable players who could be worth a punt on if Lukaku isn’t to your fancy are 2 Argentinian players, Lukaku’s Inter strike parter Lautaro Martinez or Lucas Ocampos, the tricky winger for Seville.

FORZA INTER, VAMOS SEVILLA

HOW LIONEL MESSI BECAME BARCELONA’S BIGGEST PROBLEM

Wouldn’t it be just like the crazy times of 2020 if the 8-2 Champions League demolition at the hands of Bayern Munich does turn out to be Lionel Messi’s last game for FC Barcelona. The greatest player to ever play the game cut a forlorn figure as he and his hapless, ageing teammates were mercilessly took apart in an empty stadium over in Portugal. 2020 may be one of the strangest years in human history but the Barcelona train has been on buckled tracks and on course for the cliffs of humiliation for a long time. They’ve finally reached their destination and Messi wants off.


The warning signs have been up for a while, not that the Barca higherachy seem to be paying much attention. Winning leagues. Yes. Winning cups. Yes. Yet those that have followed the club’s progress over the last 2 or 3 seasons have been aware of an alarming broader picture. The teams ageing squad, the very poor recruitment of players coupled with the lack of once famed youth team progression all playing major parts.

Messi, through no fault of his own, has become the club’s main problem which we’ll go into more detail later. But, his unwavered ability to win games on his own has lead those in charge to bury their head in the sands of Copa Del Rey’s and La Liga titles. There seems to be a complacent, arrogant air of ‘it’s ok, we’ve got Messi’ which wafts away around the Camp Nou. To an extent, this has papered over cracks but only because of Messi’s undoubted genius. It’s in the latter stages of the Champions League where the club have been found out. Crushing defeats to AS Roma and Liverpool in previous seasons made the world sit up and take notice. This isn’t the Barcelona of old, in fact, stop Messi the conductor and you stop the train completely.

Luis Suarez, Gerard Pique, Sergio Busquets and Jordi Alba, once reliable and unquestionably world class performers have all had the sands of time catch up on them. The wrong side of 30, the explosive pace needed at the top end of the elite game now eludes them as their glistening careers wind down. It’s to the club’s great shame that they didn’t let these legendary players either leave for a farmer’s league final payday or allow them to gracefully retire at the very top of their game a few years previous. The blame here lies in Barcelona’s terrible recruitment and lack of planning.


MESSI

The 6 time Balon D’Or winner ended the 19/20 season with 31 goals and 26 assists in all competitions for Barcelona this season despite missing a quarter of it through injury. How do you replace that? The answer is you can’t. But what Barcelona have failed to do is come up with any sort of contingency plan for a post Messi world. The world’s greatest player’s extraordinary performances over the last 15 seasons have seen him become not only invaluable on the pitch but commercially invaluable off it. It has earned him contracts of eye watering amounts but they’re contracts which has increasingly taken power away from the club and ones where the club can be effectively be held to ransom. Messi has it written into his contract that he can leave for free at the end of every season if he so chooses. This has meant signings all seem based around keeping their star man happy rather than looking at a bigger long term picture of the team. One case in point being that Luis Suarez probably would have been shipped out a year or 2 ago had he not been Messi’s best mate.

There has also been a very public dispute between Messi and the club’s sporting director, Eric Abidal. Usually quiet and unassuming, Messi flexed his muscles by lashing out at the Frenchman who had claimed the players weren’t working hard enough under then coach Ernesto Valverde. A wake up call for the club’s board, a PR disaster and a glimpse at the level of Messi’s general unhappiness within the club.

As it happens, Antoine Greizmann was last year’s marquee signing at £107 million which did gain Messi’s seal of approval. A great player for Atletico, he was seen as a good signing. However, looking a bit deeper, at 29 years of age it was another short term solution to Barcelona’s problems and a transfer fee that seemed very inflated. Sadly, even in the short term, Greizmann has looked a shadow of his former self and has struggled to fit into the Barca system, often pushed into a wider role he’s not been used to. Rumours have circulated that he and Messi don’t get on. Rumours which the pair have both strongly denied. Unsettling none the less and again, more bad publicity for the club. Prior and even post Greizmann, Messi has openly pined for Neymar to return to the club from PSG but his own astronomical wage package has meant the club could no longer afford the type of numbers needed to bring back world’s most expensive player. Greizmann would have to do and it’s failed massively.

Then there was the mid season signing of Martin Braithwaite outside of the transfer window which saw a lot of very highly raised eyebrows. It didn’t make any sense especially as Barcelona sort special permission to sign him. That along with other expensive failures such as Ousmane Dembele and Philippe Coutinho have compounded the boardroom misery. With the lack of money available, you would think La Masia would be the club’s focus. The development of a new Messi, a new Xavi, Puyol or Iniesta should have been a priority but the talent coming through seems to have dried up with the clear focus being on the more established, older and expensive signings. This lack of youth intergration has probably set the club back years. The death of Johan Cruyff hasn’t helped either, would he have let things go this far? The famous Cruyff style of play seems to have been diluted out of the team’s DNA in recent seasons. One things for sure, new coach Ronald Koeman needs to clear the decks and start from scratch. The slight advantage for Koeman is his knowledge of the club. A legend in Barcelona, he knows the Cruyff core principles better than most and, hopefully, how to reimplement them. The downside he and Barcelona have is, how far do you let the club fall behind in order to rebuild properly? Big spenders Man City and PSG won’t wait around for them that’s for sure.

As for Messi, what next? Only a couple of clubs could realistically afford him in Europe, the afore mentioned. Talk of a return to boyhood club Newells in his native Argentina hasn’t gone away. That would basically mean playing for nothing with the major intense scrutiny and fanaticism that comes with it. This has potential to become a logistical nightmare for him and his young family. The 3rd option is to stay at Barcelona and help Koeman rebuild. He’d have to accept the old guard all departing and he himself taking up a more back seat role to allow the club to properly prepare for life without him. That’s not to say the club don’t just continue to keep their heads firmly lodged up their own proverbials and go on as though nothing has happened. Wouldn’t rule it out. Messi would still get the numbers because he’s that good. Then, a year or 2 down the line, he’d retire. What then? A dead institution primed and ready for mediocrity.

BLOGIN BETS (18/7/20)

This week’s accumulator is £10 @9/1

BRENTFORD 8/13 (Away v Stoke. Saturday KO 12:30)

ATALANTA 4/11 (Away v Verona. Saturday KO 16:15)

• AC MILAN 1/2 (Home v Bologna. Saturday KO 20:45)

• BARCELONA 4/9 (Away v Alaves. Sunday KO 20:00)

• REAL MADRID 10/11 (Away v Leganes. Sunday KO 20:00)

CONFIDENCE: 7/10

OVERVIEW: First of all, I’m not sure I’ve ever seen Real Madrid and Barcelona’s combined odds be so high on a single game week. A double on the two Spanish giants would gain a price of nearly 2/1 alone. Giving both club’s respective dominance in La Liga over the years, I would say this is pretty rare but it’s probably the fact the title race is over – Just an observation but I’ll be looking to take full advantage.

With that in mind, I think we have fantastic value on this week’s accumulator. Granted, there are some tricky fixtures but I’m actually quietly confident. The run down is the usual 5 team pick spread over Saturday and Sunday. With odds of 9/1, let’s have a bit of that.

PICKS: Brentford are flying in the championship, 8 wins from 8 has giving them a great chance of automatic promotion. Opponents Stoke have actually won 4 of their last 5 home games, albeit against lesser opposition. The defeat in that run was against lowly Middlesbrough and the league table does not lie. I expect a Brentford win.

Atalanta’s dream Serie A season roll’s on, a 6-2 victory last time out took their total to 93 goals scored in the league this season, they even have an outside chance at the title. Verona on the other hand have only won once in 8, despite being comfortable in mid table. AWAY WIN.

A tricky one coming up as AC Milan look to clinch a European spot. Their home form has been excellent with notable victories against Juventus and Roma in recent weeks. Bologna have had a decent season themselves but with only 2 wins from 10 and Milan’s home form, I’m thinking a narrow HOME WIN.

Barcelona have thrown away the title and have been in pretty average form all season. But they are Barcelona, still have Messi in their ranks and away to 15th place Alaves, you’d still expect them to get the job done and finish on a high. 4/9 good value.

Real Madrid have sealed the title and hopefully there’ll be a party atmosphere even without supporters. Their opponents are in the relegation zone but 3 wins from 5 has given them hope. 10/11 is really high and I presume this reflects Leganes recent revival and Madrid with nothing left to play for, I can still only see one outcome – AWAY WIN and acca wrapped up.